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Month

November 2010

12 posts

360 Peer Reviews and the Prisoner's Dilemma

If you work for an organization that places a lot of emphasis on 360 peer reviews, you’re most likely experienced in this practical execution of game theory.  While 360s (as they’re called) are important for establishing egalitarian institutions with fair employee evaluation practices, rating employees on subjective and objective criterion, 360s are inherently flawed.  My recent observations on organizational psychology and management have led me to believe that there is an inherent incentive to use 360s for an individual’s career advancement at the expense of all their colleagues. 

You may recall the prisoner’s dilemma from a business school class, or conversation with a slightly nerdy dude like myself: 

Imagine a situation where there are 2 prisoners, each guilty of a crime.  They’re in separate cells, where guardsmen interrogate them.   You can imagine the string of outcomes:

  1. Betrayal: Prisoner A rats on Prisoner B, Prisoner B remains silent: Prisoner B gets the maximum sentence (10 years) and Prisoner A is free
  2. Betrayal: Prisoner B rats on Prisoner A, Prisioner A remains silent: Prisoner A gets the maximum sentence (10 years) and Prisoner B is free
  3. Betrayal: Prisoners A and B rat each other out: Both prisoners go to jail (5 years)
  4. Coopreration:  Prisoners A and B consipre to remain silent: Both prisoners get out with a slap on the wrist (6 months)

If subjects are focused only on their personal outcome, they’ll betray (scenario 3).  This is called a Nash Equilibruim, where no participant can gain by changing strategy.  I.e., you go to jail for 5 years in the worst scenario, or you go free.  This is the dominant outcome when simulated. 

Though feedback loops are great mechanisms for professional growth, there’s a very strong incentive to betray if the betrayal can lead to career advancement.    (I.e.  I’m smarter than you all and I’ll make sure everyone knows it in your review).   And since feedback is anonymous, which is the best practice, it is hard for any subject to pin negative feedback on someone else.  

There you have it.   Game theory everyone can (unfortunately) relate to.

Nov 29, 2010
Nov 29, 2010862 notes
Big 2 Brewers Take on Craft Beers - Again


Image by Bernt Rostad via Flickr

http://adage.com/article?article_id=147201

With brands like Tenth and Blake (new from Miller Coors), the beer giants are again taking on the craft industry.  Beware the phonies.

I’d be all for this kind of innovation, but the legislated 3 tier alcohol business, which requires some sort of wholesaler, basically guarantee the current duopoly’s hold on distribution, making it incredibly difficult for a craft brewer to gain distribution on a large scale.

Learned a lot of this from the Beer Wars documentary - a must watch. 

Related articles

  • 10With: Anat Baron, “Beer Wars” (Pt 1) (chicagoist.com)

Nov 26, 20101 note
Nov 26, 20106 notes
Listen

grace-notes:

Foo Fighters - Everlong

Love this song

Nov 25, 201067 notes
Nov 17, 20101,128 notes
Nov 10, 201085 notes
Do consumers want location based social networking? → nytimes.com

I’ve had this debate with many friends.   The SF crowd is very much in favor of location based social networking.  Friends in the rest of the country, even NY, seem to be more apathetic to its benefits.  Is this a case where a whole industry is that much out of touch with people?  Or, is it the people are out of touch.  Talk amongst yourselves.

Nov 10, 2010
Nov 4, 20102 notes
Nov 2, 2010632 notes
Why Do People ‘Like’ A Company Or Brand? → psfk.com
Nov 2, 2010
Nov 1, 201016 notes
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